Much to talk about, little to agree

XULIO RIOS
A Biden-Xi summit taking advantage of the APEC framework can help to somewhat put the antagonism on track, but not dilute it. And less than a year before the next elections in the United States, when it is foreseeable that hawks from all possible sides will turn China into the favorite target of all imaginable diatribes. Both Democrats and Republicans agree on that. Get ready.

Undoubtedly, dialogue is always advisable. Essential to minimally stabilize their ties, something essential in view of the importance of their ties and the global significance of their differences. Another thing is that it contributes to rebuilding a certain level of mutual trust if it is not accompanied by concrete measures to mitigate conflicts.

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The way back from Canberra to Beijing

XULIO RIOS
The Australian Prime Minister visits China to seal the normalization of relations between Canberra and Beijing, launched in his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Bali, Indonesia, in 2022. Anthony Albanese will be the first Australian head of government to visit China in the last seven years.

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Plan A for Taiwan is written with F for Fujian

XULIO RIOS
Without ceasing to multiply military exercises clearly aimed at Taiwan (and also with a message for the US and its policies, which Beijing describes as encouraging independence), China has announced its intention to turn the province of Fujian into a demonstration zone for development. integrated across the Taiwan Strait.

The objective is, at the same time, to illustrate and legitimize the discourse on their desire to achieve peaceful reunification, while weakening the secessionist movement that, for the moment, has the upper hand in Taiwan.

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The real threat from China: they have a better capitalist system than ours

PATRICK LAWRENCE
What are we doing to train the doctors and scientists needed to find our way in the XNUMXst century? What are we doing to bring the dispossessed into the economy, to address drug addiction and the rest of our social ills? What are we doing (I mean seriously) to repair and build the infrastructure we need?

The Chinese challenge could and should be understood as an opportunity to reinvent the US through a Great Mobilization on the magnitude of the New Deal. Of course, this idea is nothing more than hot air. Instead, we are sacrificing this historic opportunity in favor of military-industrial development.

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The two receptions of the BRI

XULIO RIOS
The Belt and Road Initiative (IFR) celebrates its first decade of implementation in 2023. The time elapsed supports it as a long-term project. Two attitudes have marked the global reaction to it. On the one hand, developing countries have celebrated being able to have an alternative proposal that focuses on their most pressing needs, especially in terms of infrastructure.

China's plan provides specific support in areas poorly served by traditional available financing, filling a gap of singular importance. On the other hand, developed countries have evolved from initial ambiguity and reservation to a certain competitive hostility.

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“The decarbonization of the rich is not ours”

CECILIA VALDEZ
Green colonialism or green capitalism is what critical environmentalism calls the exploitation of natural resources from the global North over the global South, and which will make it possible to guarantee the energy transition that industrialized countries boast so much about, that is, those that more pollute. But the energy transition requires natural resources that the north does not have, such as lithium or green hydrogen.

While the socio-environmentalist denounces the serious consequences of plundering practices, governments and corporations close agreements. Even countries that show irreconcilable differences in world geopolitics shake hands in their territories and seal commitments. On the side of Latin American progressives, the more or less critical position regarding extractivism depends on whether they are a government or not, and on the pressing economic needs that make them dependent on foreign currency.

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BRICS to more

XULIO RIOS
If the summit that the BRICS have held in Johannesburg has revealed anything, it is the firm will to reactivate their association with two main parameters of action. First, development issues will continue to be high on its agenda; secondly, issues related to peace and security will gain relevance in their positions.

The common denominator is the implementation of a roadmap in which both issues are inextricably linked.
After enlargement, the BRICS will represent 37% of world GDP and 46% of the planet's population.

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Of Chinese bases, crickets, vaccines and nuclear submarines in Cuba

PASCUAL SERRANO
Last June, the US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, stated that, according to the intelligence information available to them, China was strengthening its infrastructure for data collection in foreign countries, and added more specifically that "the People's Republic China had carried out an upgrade of its intelligence gathering facilities in Cuba in 2019."

The news was reported by The Wall Street Journal, adding that while Secretary of State Antony Blinken was meeting with President Xi Jinping, China was negotiating to establish a military training center in Cuba, which would put thousands of soldiers 90 miles away. off the coast of Florida.

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Wait and see

XULIO RIOS
The visit of the US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, to China has the main merit of having recovered a certain normality in the bilateral dialogue, showing that there is a relative potential for easing tensions.

It also seems to have paved the way and cleared up some unknowns regarding the bilateral performance in some upcoming summits such as the G20 in India (in September) or the APEC (in November) in the US, which stand out on the agenda of the second semester of the year

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Investigate to survive

JAVIER GARCIA
Few companies in the world have been as attacked from a state as the Chinese technology company Huawei has been by the United States government. Blacklisted, prevented from doing business in the US and also from importing semiconductor material with minimal US technology or components anywhere in the world. Vetoed to install their 5G networks in many countries due to pressure from Washington, unable to use Google's Android operating system on their mobile phones.

All this in the name of "national security", the new multi-purpose expression coined by Washington to twist when it suits competition on equal terms and the basic rules of the "free market" on which its entire economic system is supposedly based.

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The great opportunity of the BRICS to improve world development

MARCO FERNANDES
The BRICS countries occupy an increasingly important place in the world economy. In GDP by purchasing power parity (PPP), China is the world's largest economy, India third, Russia sixth and Brazil eighth. The BRICS now account for 31,5% of global PPP GDP, while the G7 share has fallen to 30%. They are expected to contribute more than 50% of global GDP by 2030, and the proposed expansion will almost certainly bring this forward.

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